Congress -surveys -predict -enormous -victory -Delhi

Perhaps unsurprisingly, Congress surveys are predicting the re-election of Delhi CM Sheila Dikshit
Sheila Dikshit’s Congress has just handed itself a massive victory in the capital fight. Mail Today learns that two internal surveys of the Delhi Congress reveal that it should return to power on December 8, when the Assembly election results are to be declared.

ganar dinero desde casaThese projections fly in the face of all the recent surveys that have shown a triangular contest, with the BJP and newbie AAP gaining considerably.

The Grand Old Party got these back-to-back surveys conducted during the last week of September- early October and in the late October-early November period, and in both the surveys, the Congress has patted its own back.

The surveys have predicted a clear victory for the party in the upcoming Assembly elections – 39 out of 70 in the first survey and 42 out 70 in the second.

When contacted by Mail Today, Pawan Khera, political secretary to Chief Minister Dikshit, said: “Elections are not over till the results are declared. We are absolutely confident that we will win handsomely. The CM has got an overwhelming response during her rallies till date.”

While the result of the first survey, conducted during September-October, predicted 39 seats for the Congress, it has given 30 seats to Opposition BJP. The results also showed that the party’s popularity had improved by the time the next survey was conducted. The party, it was concluded in the second exercise, would win 42 seats in December, while the BJP would have to make do with 26.

Surprisingly, the new entrant Aam Admi Party (AAP) has not been given any place in the two surveys. The party has just been dropped in the category of ‘Others’, with a maximum of two seats in its share.

This is the biggest shocker that emerges from the surveys, for it flies in the face of recent opinion polls which show the Aam Aadmi Party as a new vote catcher in the capital.

Conventionally, ‘Others’ includes all the parties besides the Congress and BJP. If surveys are to be believed, the ‘Others’ can get only two seats. It means that AAP, BSP, JD (U), Independents and other parties all put together will get no more than two seats. By extrapolation, one can predict that AAP may not get even a single seat in this year’s election.

“Shoaib Iqbal from JD (U) may win the election as he has been winning the seats irrespective of his association with the party. One seat generally goes to an Independent or the BSP,” said a party leader.
Significantly, the surveys have revealed that it is only national issues that dominate the public’s mind. “People are hardly bothered about issues related to the Commonwealth Games or inflation. They are mostly talking about various scams like Coalgate and 2G,” said a party source.
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About 1,000 people were interviewed in each of the 70 Assembly seats in the city for the Congress’ internal surveys. To take stock of the situation on ground, every political party gets its own surveys done before the elections. Recently, the AAP and the BJP also got similar surveys done – with both the parties’ respective surveys predicting their own victory.

Bucking the trend, AAP was the first party to make its own survey result public. AAP’s survey results predicted Arvind Kejriwal as the most popular choice for the post of Delhi’s Chief Minister. It also said that the party was leading in 32 seats in the city.

Thereafter, Delhi BJP followed suit and released the results of its survey, claiming victory in 39 seats. So far, the Congress has not made its survey result public.

When asked about the surveys of other parties, Khera said: “Some people are happy to win surveys, while others work towards winning elections.”

Congress sources, however, refused to reveal the names of the agencies involved in the surveys, citing non-disclosure agreements.

Cyber Hindus rally for BJPA fervently pro-Hindu, pro-BJP, pro-Narendra Modi, right-wing internet community has dominated every social media discussion and online forum in the recent times, an India Today Group’s e-lection poll has found.
In the mock online general election, users were asked to vote for the party of their choice in Lok Sabha constituencies across India. Of the 5.46 lakh votes that were polled over a 40-day period till October 30, 3.29 lakh users chose the BJP.
Breaking these votes into regions and converting them into seats for the 545-member Lok Sabha meant the BJP would get 327 seats – way above the magic number of 273.

The results from this self-selected sample may not reflect the ground reality, but they prove one thing – the internet is saffron.

According to Anja Kovacs, director of Internet Democracy Project, the young middle-class BJP supporter is intrinsically tied with the rise of the Internet.

“A lot of the leadership of this Internet movement was provided by techies who had moved abroad and were looking to connect with India. The BJP naturally connects with the middle-class, upwardly mobile Indian who is more likely to be on the Internet than, say, someone who supports the CPI,” she said.

A large section of these netizens gravitated towards Modi with such enthusiasm that they believe he can do no wrong. They insisted that they are not blind followers of Modi and support him because of his policies, development mantra and clean image.

Social media has spoken emphatically about what it wants in 2014. But other parties can take heart from the fact that online fervour alone will not decide who comes to power.

Nor can you tweet your vote, at least just yet.

-India Today

BJP wanted ban on poll surveys Arun Jaitley had harsh words for the Congress over opinion polls

The BJP might be out attacking the Congress’ call for restrictions on opinion polls – with senior leader Arun Jaitley even saying only potential losers demand such measures – but the Opposition party had sung a different tune after losing the Lok Sabha elections in 2004.
An Election Commission document dating to July 2004, after the UPA had registered a surprise win over the NDA, registers unanimous support from major parties in favour of publishing opinion polls after elections have been notified.

“The unanimous view of all the participating members was that conducting the opinion polls and publishing results thereof should not be allowed from the day of issue of statutory notification calling the election and till the completion of the poll,” the document, entitled ‘Proposed Electoral Reforms’, records.

-Mail Today

A hardliner stormThe BJP and the Congress party on Tuesday flayed Arvind Kejriwal for meeting a controversial Muslim cleric four days ago, saying the AAP chief was playing the “communal card”.

Kejriwal now stands “exposed” after the Bareilly meeting, the BJP said.

“Kejriwal goes and meets a Maulana who speaks a language worse than terrorists. AAP have fallen to this level for votes,” tweeted Delhi BJP’s Vijender Gupta.
On the other hand, the Congress dubbed the AAP as “B team of BJP”.

Aam Aadmi Party’s Arvind Kejriwal (left) met Tauqeer Raza Khan four days ago

The AAP chief, meanwhile, downplayed his meeting with Maulana Raza.

“I had gone to the dargah to pray for a corruption-free India and met him as he is a respected man there. I met him and appealed to him that everyone should come together to save the country as it is going through a sensitive phase,” he said.

On the accusation of playing the “communal card”, Kejriwal clarified that he was not aware of the charges against the Maulana of issuing a fatwa against writer Taslima Nasreen.

-Mail Today

Modi wave ‘like rise of Third Reich,’ Jairam claims
The UPA government stepped up its criticism of leading opposition prime-ministerial candidate Narendra Modi on Tuesday, painting him as a ganar dinero desde casa – www.youtube.com, dangerous extremist and comparing his rise to the birth of Nazi Germany in the 1930s.

Modi’s critics have long sought to associate the Hindu nationalist leader with fascism and blame him for anti-Muslim riots in 2002 that killed at least 1,000 people. He denies any wrongdoing in the riots and a Supreme Court investigation found no evidence to prosecute him.

The broadsides from two senior ministers follow a series of large political rallies by Modi and a string of opinion polls forecasting a poor performance by the government in state elections starting next week and a general election expected by April.

Jairam Ramesh has likened Modi’s rise to that of Hitler in 1932, one year before he took charge of Germany

The ruling Congress party’s own campaign has yet to pick up much steam.
Jairam Ramesh, a senior cabinet minister close to the leadership of the Congress party, said Modi’s career reminded him of the rise of the Third Reich, the strongest comments yet by a minister of his rank.

“Political autocracy, social divisiveness and economic liberalism. That’s Mr Modi reduced to three dimensions,” Ramesh said. “Exactly what created the autobahns and the Volkswagens in the 30s but also created the disaster of Germany. India right now in 2013 – I would say we are going through what Germany went through in 1932.”

Modi’s BJP, which ruled with a moderate prime minister between 1998 and 2004, says Congress has a worse record on autocracy, including a period when former Prime Minister Indira Gandhi suspended democratic rights in the 1970s.

“They keep going on about fascism and Hitlerism, rather than addressing the issue of the day – misgovernance,” BJP spokeswoman Meenakshi Lekhi said in response to the minister’s comments.
In large rallies across the country Modi has been campaigning on his record of fast economic growth as chief minister of the state of Gujarat, promising to create jobs and help India become a global power, while attacking the government for a string of corruption scandals.
He contrasts his modest background as a tea-boy and political outsider to the Nehru-Gandhi family dynasty that runs the Congress party. Last month, bombs exploded at one of his rallies, killing six people and raising worries about his safety. Investigators blame Islamic militants for the attack.
Modi has close ties to the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), a right-wing group that sees India as primarily a Hindu country, a view that many consider divisive in the multi-religious nation.

-Reuters

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